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Astrid Stärkelström

By Astrid Stärkelström, Head of Operations

What is HVAC AI Optimization?

A clear, jargon-free explanation of what HVAC AI optimisation is, how it differs from traditional control, and why it matters for your building.

HVAC (heating, ventilation and air conditioning) accounts for between 40 and 60 percent of energy consumption in a typical commercial building. It is the single largest controllable cost in building operations, and the area where technology has the most to offer.

HVAC AI optimization is the application of artificial intelligence to the control of these systems, replacing fixed schedules and static setpoints with dynamic, data-driven decision-making that continuously adapts to what the building actually needs.

This article explains what it is, how it works, and why it matters.

The Problem With Traditional HVAC Control

To understand what AI optimization adds, it helps to understand what it replaces.

Most commercial buildings are controlled by a building management system (BMS) that operates on rules programmed during commissioning. The heating comes on at 7am. The cooling activates at 24°C. The ventilation runs at full capacity during occupied hours and drops to a minimum outside them.

These rules represent a reasonable average. On a typical day, in typical conditions, they produce acceptable results.

The problem is that buildings are rarely in typical conditions.

On a mild spring morning, the building may warm up naturally before the heating system activates, but it pre-heats anyway because that is what the schedule says. On a day with low occupancy, the ventilation runs at full capacity for a half-empty building. During a period of high electricity prices, the cooling runs at maximum load because the system has no awareness of energy cost.

The result is waste, systematic, continuous and largely invisible. Energy consumed not because the building needs it, but because the rules say so.

What HVAC AI Optimization Does

HVAC AI optimization replaces those rules with a system that continuously asks: what does this building actually need right now, and what is the most efficient way to deliver it?

To answer that question, the AI draws on multiple data streams simultaneously:

Sensor data from the building: Temperature, humidity, CO₂ levels and occupancy across every zone, not a single average, but a real-time picture of conditions throughout the building.

Weather forecasts: Not just current outdoor conditions, but predicted temperature, solar radiation, wind and humidity for the next 24 to 48 hours. This allows the system to anticipate what the building will need and act in advance, pre-cooling before the afternoon sun hits the south facade, rather than reacting after the temperature has already risen.

Electricity prices: In markets with dynamic pricing, the AI can shift consumption to periods when electricity is cheaper and lower-carbon. This reduces cost without reducing comfort.

Occupancy signals: Calendar data, access card records, desk booking systems, information about how many people are actually in the building, where they are, and when that is expected to change.

Historical behaviour: Over time, the AI learns how this specific building responds to different conditions. It knows that the west wing takes longer to cool down in summer. It knows that Monday mornings require more pre-heating than other days. It uses that knowledge to make better decisions.

From these inputs, the system generates optimized setpoints, target temperatures, ventilation rates, pre-conditioning schedules, and updates them continuously, typically every 15 minutes.

How It Integrates With Existing Systems

One of the most common concerns about AI HVAC optimization is disruption. The assumption is that deploying it means replacing the existing BMS, a costly, disruptive process that most building managers want to avoid.

In practice, AI optimization is designed to work alongside existing systems, not replace them.

Myrspoven's myCoreAI, for example, integrates with the building's existing BMS through standard communication protocols, BACnet, Modbus. It reads sensor data from the BMS and writes optimized setpoints back to it. The BMS continues to control the physical systems and enforce safety limits. The AI handles the decision-making about what those setpoints should be.

This means no new HVAC hardware, no construction work and minimal disruption during deployment. Most integrations are completed within four to eight weeks.

What the Results Look Like

The performance of AI HVAC optimization is well-documented across real commercial deployments.

Buildings that switch from rule-based to AI-driven control typically see:

  • 20 to 25 percent reduction in total HVAC energy consumption
  • 15 to 20 percent reduction in heating energy
  • 15 to 20 percent reduction in cooling energy
  • Fewer occupant comfort complaints (more stable temperatures, fewer hot and cold spots)
  • Earlier detection of equipment faults (anomalies flagged before they become failures)

At Gallerian Nyckeln in Sweden, Myrspoven's AI control delivered a 23 percent reduction in electricity consumption. At Factory Office Center in Prague, savings of up to 22 percent were achieved within the first three months.

Payback periods typically fall between 12 and 30 months, depending on building size, energy prices and the scope of the deployment.

Who Benefits Most

AI HVAC optimization delivers measurable results across a wide range of building types. But the benefits are largest where the gap between current operation and optimal operation is greatest.

Buildings on fixed schedules with no weather compensation, the most common situation in older commercial stock, have the most room for improvement. The AI adds weather-responsive, occupancy-responsive control that the existing BMS simply cannot deliver.

Buildings with high energy costs, whether due to size, climate or tariff structure, benefit proportionally more from percentage savings.

Buildings facing regulatory pressure, those that need to improve their energy performance certificate rating or demonstrate progress on ESG targets, benefit from both the consumption reduction and the data the AI system generates as a by-product of operation.

Buildings with heat pumps benefit from AI's ability to optimize operation around varying efficiency conditions, load shifting to low-price electricity windows and dynamic flow temperature management.

What It Is Not

It is worth being clear about what AI HVAC optimization cannot do.

It cannot fix broken equipment. A failing chiller or a blocked heat exchanger needs maintenance, the AI will optimize around the constraint but cannot resolve the underlying issue.

It is not a replacement for good engineering. AI optimization works best in buildings where the fundamental HVAC design is sound. Significant design flaws require physical intervention.

And it is not a one-time solution. The system learns and improves over time, but it requires ongoing monitoring to ensure performance is maintained and the BMS integration stays healthy.

The Bigger Picture

HVAC AI optimization is one piece of a broader transition that is reshaping commercial real estate, from buildings managed by schedules and rules to buildings that respond intelligently to the conditions they actually face.

The transition is driven by three converging pressures: rising energy costs that make waste increasingly expensive, tightening regulation that makes poor energy performance a financial liability, and improving technology that makes intelligent optimization accessible without major capital investment.

For most commercial buildings, HVAC AI optimization is the highest-impact, fastest-payback starting point for that transition. It delivers results quickly, generates the data that underpins everything else, and builds the foundation for further improvement.

Ready to see what it would deliver for your buildings? Explore our solutions.

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